COVID-19 durante a primeira onda pandêmica no Valle de México e na Cidade do México: Uma abordagem de análise espacial em pequenas áreas
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.59072/rper.vi63.55Palavras-chave:
COVID-19, Análise econométrica espacial, Valle de MéxicoResumo
Os primeiros casos da doença COVID-19 no México vieram do exterior em fevereiro de 2020. A propagação comunitária acelerou a infecção nas grandes áreas metropolitanas do México, como a Zona Metropolitana do Vale do México (VMMZ), onde se localizava a maior concentração de pessoas na região. país. Neste estudo, avaliamos a distribuição espacial dos casos positivos e óbitos em VMMZ em nível municipal por meio de um modelo econométrico espacial que inclui variáveis sociodemográficas e econômicas, além de explorarmos os casos ativos na Cidade do México em nível de bairro. Encontramos efeitos espaciais significativos, principalmente nos casos positivos, que poderiam ajudar a explicar o estágio da doença, em ambos os níveis município e bairro. O modelo lançou luz ao observar como o COVID19 atinge mais fortemente os municípios mais densamente povoados e onde o processo de urbanização foi mais profundo, em comparação com os periféricos, no entanto, as piores condições de vida também apresentam uma relação positiva, tanto nos casos positivos como nos óbitos.
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